Mumbai Weather Forecast Today: Dry Skies, 30°C Heat & Rising Air Quality Concerns in 2026
Mumbai weather forecast today: Expect dry skies, warm 30–33°C temperatures, and lingering air quality concerns
Mumbai is set to experience a stretch of dry and warm weather over the coming days, with daytime temperatures hovering between 30°C and 33°C, while air quality remains a growing concern for residents. As winter gradually loosens its grip on the city, meteorological conditions are shifting toward early-summer patterns, bringing sunny skies, rising mercury levels, and stagnant atmospheric conditions that are preventing pollutants from dispersing efficiently.
Here’s a detailed look at what Mumbaikars can expect from the weather, how air quality is shaping up, and what precautions residents should take.
According to the latest weather models and local meteorological observations, Mumbai is likely to remain rain-free for at least the next 7 to 10 days. The absence of western disturbances and minimal moisture influx from the Arabian Sea are contributing to stable, dry conditions across the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR).
- Maximum temperatures: 30°C to 33°C
- Minimum temperatures: 20°C to 23°C
- Humidity levels: 45% to 65%
- Rain probability: Less than 5%
Clear skies during the daytime will allow strong solar radiation to heat the surface quickly, pushing temperatures higher than the seasonal average. Nighttime temperatures will remain relatively comfortable but are also expected to rise gradually as humidity increases.
Mumbai’s current warming trend is driven by several seasonal and atmospheric factors:
- Seasonal Transition: Late January and early February typically mark the transition from winter to pre-summer conditions in coastal Maharashtra.
- Reduced Northerly Winds: The cooler winds from northern India are weakening, allowing warmer air masses to dominate.
- Urban Heat Island Effect: Concrete infrastructure, high traffic density, and industrial emissions are trapping heat, especially in central and suburban areas.
- Low Cloud Cover: Clear skies allow more direct sunlight to reach the ground, accelerating daytime heating.
These factors combined are pushing temperatures into the low-to-mid 30s, making afternoons noticeably warmer than what residents experienced earlier this month.
While the sunny weather may seem pleasant, it is also exacerbating Mumbai’s air quality issues. With low wind speeds and limited atmospheric mixing, pollutants are accumulating near the surface, leading to moderate to poor AQI levels across several parts of the city.
- Current AQI range: 150 to 220 (Moderate to Poor)
- High-risk zones: Bandra, Chembur, Kurla, Andheri East, Powai
- Primary pollutants: PM2.5, PM10, nitrogen dioxide (NO₂)
These fine particulate matters are especially harmful because they penetrate deep into the lungs and bloodstream, increasing the risk of respiratory and cardiovascular problems.
Despite the absence of major dust storms or industrial incidents, Mumbai’s air pollution remains stubbornly high due to:
- Vehicular emissions from rising traffic volumes
- Construction dust from ongoing infrastructure projects
- Low wind speeds, reducing pollutant dispersion
- Thermal inversion layers, trapping polluted air close to the ground
- Burning of waste in some suburban pockets
The dry weather further worsens the situation because there is no rainfall to cleanse the atmosphere and remove suspended particles.
The combination of warm temperatures and lingering pollution can significantly affect daily routines and public health.
Health Risks:
- Increased cases of cough, throat irritation, and breathlessness
- Worsening symptoms for people with asthma, COPD, and allergies
- Eye irritation and headaches
- Higher dehydration risk due to warm afternoons
Productivity Impact:
- Afternoon heat may reduce outdoor work efficiency
- Construction workers and traffic police are at higher heat exposure risk
- Schoolchildren may feel discomfort during outdoor activities
Health experts and civic authorities recommend the following precautions during this period:
- Limit Outdoor Exposure: Avoid strenuous outdoor activities between 12 PM and 4 PM.
- Stay Hydrated: Drink at least 2.5–3 liters of water daily to counter dehydration.
- Use Masks: Especially N95 masks for people with respiratory issues when outdoors.
- Monitor AQI Daily: Use reliable apps or government portals for real-time updates.
- Indoor Air Purification: Consider air purifiers or keep windows closed during peak pollution hours.
- Protect Vulnerable Groups: Children, elderly citizens, and people with lung or heart conditions should take extra precautions.
At present, there are no immediate signs of rainfall in Mumbai or nearby coastal areas. Meteorologists indicate that the next significant rain event is unlikely before late February or early March, when pre-monsoon convection may begin developing.
Until then, the dry and warm pattern is expected to dominate, with only minor fluctuations in temperature and humidity.
For late January, Mumbai’s typical average temperatures are:
- Normal maximum: 29°C
- Normal minimum: 19°C
Current and forecasted temperatures are running 1–3°C above normal, indicating an early onset of summer-like conditions.
Climate experts warn that Mumbai may experience:
- Earlier summer onset
- Longer heat spells
- More frequent air quality deterioration episodes
Urbanization, climate change, and rising emissions are expected to intensify both heat and pollution trends in coming years.
The Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) and Maharashtra Pollution Control Board (MPCB) have reportedly stepped up:
- Road water-sprinkling to reduce dust
- Monitoring construction sites for dust control compliance
- AQI monitoring at over 25 active stations across Mumbai
- Advisories for vulnerable populations
However, experts say long-term solutions like electric mobility, better waste management, and stricter industrial emissions controls are essential to sustainably improve air quality.
- Mumbai will remain dry and warm with temperatures between 30°C and 33°C
- Air quality is expected to stay moderate to poor in several areas
- No rainfall is forecast for at least 7–10 days
- Residents should take health precautions and limit outdoor exposure
- Long-term climate and pollution challenges are becoming more visible
